The Euro nice weather period is running out

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Since the beginning of the year, the euro has been one of the stars in the foreign exchange market. Approximately 12% has the Euro gained in value against the US dollar. But now a trend reversal is emerging which could catch investors on the wrong foot. This is shown by the sentix Strategic Bias, which is at a turning point.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 38-2017

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Unterschätztes Wahlergebnis?!

Wie von uns erwartet, war die Bundestagswahl nicht das allseits favorisierte None-Event. Saisonal ist nach der Wahl ohnehin meist eine Konsolidierung des Aktienmarktes angelegt. Mit der hohen Unsicherheit über das künftige Regierungsbündnis hat der Markt einen guten Grund dazu. Auch für den Euro könnte das Wahlergebnis Signalwirkung haben.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: EuroSTOXX, DAX, S&P 500, EUR-USD

Klicken Sie hier für die aktuelle Investmentmeinung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

Rest before the Bundestag elections. But after that?

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There is peace on the Euro front. At least this was the case before the Bundestag elections. The sentix Euro break-up index dropped slightly again to 7.66% in September. This is the lowest value since July 2014, when the all-time low of the index was reached at 7.61%. All major country indices have yielded in line with this tendency. But whether this peaceful state still holds after the election is questionable.

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sentix ASR Essentials 38-2017

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Backing away from a positive Euro bias

The latest sentix survey revealed that sentiment on the euro was relatively neutral versus the US dollar ahead of the German election results, though investors’ strategic bias on the single currency continues to weaken. On the latter front, readings on EUR/USD dropped to their lowest level since mid-March. Changing opinion on the medium-term outlook for the euro had little impact on equity views, with strategic bias readings on eurozone indices also edging lower over the week. However, a continued moderation in investors’ medium-term euro bias moving into Q4 could potentially provide a plank of support for investors strategic views on eurozone equities. One to watch! See Charts 2-4, p2.

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Doubts about the value of Bitcoin & Co are increasing

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Despite the fierce rally of Bitcoin & Co, the loss of confidence in crypto currencies is continuing rapidly. Already since May this year, investor sentiment has fallen steadily, pointing to obvious investors' concerns. The most recent development shows that the value of the "assets" cryptocurrency is clearly disputed among investors. Bitcoin & Co could thus enter a crisis of confidence.

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