Market psychology

Market psychology

The power of emotions

The power of emotions affect prices and trends in the markets.

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Euro Break-up Index

Euro Break-up Index

Will the Euro break-up?

What's the risk that the Euro breaks up? Which country is the most exposed? Whats the routes of infection?

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sentix Community

sentix Community

Take part in our surveys!

Join the sentix Global Investor Survey and improve your trading results!

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First mover advantage

First mover advantage

Be the earliest bird in town...

Know what more than 4500 investors expecting worldwide - almost in real time.

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Sentiment research

Sentiment research

Professionally and accurately!

Weekly analysis of current market sentiment in German and English - for active participants free of charge!

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Broad spectrum

Broad spectrum

Indicators on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities

Sentiment on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities - from institutional and private investors!

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The threatening three

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After two years absence, the euro-crisis is back in the spotlight. However, this time is different. The protagonists have multiplied as France and Italy now join Greece as likely exit candidates. The sentix indicator that measures the risk of contagion jumps for the first time since 2012/13 above 45% which puts politics under pressure to curtail the crisis from spreading further.

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Risks for German stock market rise as “Overconfidence” kicks in

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The latest sentix survey reveals an issue: the sentix Overconfidence Index for the German Stock Index DAX has reached a new two-year high. Hence, the indicator signalises that investors have gained an extreme conviction that the market is trending upwards. A historical comparison indicates that the market has accumulated substantial risk.

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Current situation in the Eurozone improves

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The sentix headline index for the Eurozone experiences a slight setback in February (-0.8 points MoM). In contrast, the current situation value increases 4 points and has reached the highest value since May 2011. Investors’ expectations retreat for all world regions as the first acts of the new US President causes caution among the investment community. Nevertheless, investors positively review the current situation of the US economy. The current situation value for the US remains fairly stable at 45 points. In comparison to other world regions, expectations for the US economy fall the most in February (-8.7 points MoM). The bullying US-President is a serious threat.

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Elections are the focus of attention

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The start of the new year is accompanied by ongoing euro skepticism. This is also helped by the important elections in the coming months. The EBI figures for the Netherlands and France, which are noticeably rising, show just how much investors are looking for "correct" choice of options. Overall, the likelihood that a country will leave the euro remains high at 21.3%.

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More upside potential ahead!

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The sentix economic indices surprise in January: All indices turn positive and imply more growth potential ahead. Especially the Eurozone and Eastern Europe benefit at the beginning of 2017. The headline index for the Eurozone increases by 8.2 points and reaches the highest value since August 2015. Economic expectations and current situation values improve dynamically. At the same time, we expect more economic upside potential for Eastern Europe and Austria due to its strong ties with the east of Europe. The US economy can maintain its strong growth momentum in January. The headline index marks the second all-time high in a row. Therefore, the Global Aggregate Index jumps to a 9-year high. Therefore, we expect more economic upside potential for 2017.

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