sentix Economic News

Read the latest information and indications about the "first mover" among the economic indicators!

Background information on the sentix economic indicators


U. S. President Donald Trump's comments that he wants to impose fines on certain products did not only alarm the EU Commission. Investors surveyed by sentix also react clearly. Economic expectations for all regions of the world are declining significantly. Expectations in the eurozone are losing more than 11 points. In Germany, which is already experiencing a weakening of the economy, we are even recording a negative expectation for the first time since February 2016. However, the expectation value for the USA is also falling by more than 10 points. A wake-up call for the US president to reconsider the matter of protectionism.


Vote of no confidence against the GroKo

In February, economic momentum in the euro zone is weakening somewhat. The total index drops by one point to 31.9 points. While the situation may continue to improve, expectations have fallen to their lowest level since February 2017. Germany plays a major role in this process. The GroKo negotiations are not well received by investors. Expectations drop by more than 6 points! In the rest of the world, however, investors surveyed by sentix believe that the economic situation remains robust.


Danger of overheating

In January 2018, there was no sign of a loss of momentum in the sentix economic indices, which we were able to detect in the beginning of December. On the contrary: all regions of the world show a stable, positive and moderately improved economic picture. The US economic expectations, which are stimulated by the tax reform, have improved particularly significantly. In the eurozone, too, progress is continuing. And even latecomers such as Eastern Europe and Latin America continue to improve. The upswing is thus broad and synchronous. The likelihood of overheating is increasing.


Excellent situation, expectations diminish

The sentix Economy Index for the Eurozone concludes its series of rising highs and returns 2.9 points in December. Expectations are responsible for this, with a more pronounced drop of 6.0 points. The assessment of the situation, on the other hand, can even increase slightly (+0.7 points). The values for Germany are also falling. The overall index dropped by 3.3 points to 39.1 points. Economic expectations have fallen by 5.3 points. There is also a calming effect on the global economy. Falling expectations dominate, with the emerging markets losing the least in relative terms. The autumn revival seems to be coming to an end.


Boom, boom, boom

At the beginning of November 2017, the European and global economies are in exceptionally strong shape. The sentix economic index for Euroland rises again to 34 points, the highest since July 2007! Both situation and expec-tations contribute to this positive development. Things are even better in Germany, where we can report all-time highs. However, the upturn is not just focused on Europe. All world regions considered by sentix show fur-ther improvements. The global economy is booming. This should make the question of overheating symptoms more acute.


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