sentix ASR Essentials 27-2017

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It will not get any better?

The sentix economic indices show different trends for the different countries and regions. While Euroland and Eastern Europe stand out due to their better situation indices, the US is still characterized by a slowdown. Overall, it is striking that the economic expectations have weakened slightly. The economic momentum may thus be a top line. Better, as it indicates the very good situation index values, it will probably not be for the time being.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 26-2017

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Sommer-Rallye voraus?

Die Statistik ist eindeutig: auf Basis des aktuell bearishen Sentiments ist eine positive Aktienmarkt-Performance zu erwarten. Dieser Befund ist keineswegs intuitiv einleuchtend, denn hat nicht gerade erst eine Korrektur bei Aktien begonnen?

Geänderte Einschätzungen: EuroSTOXX 50, EUR-USD

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sentix ASR Essentials 26-2017

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Due to a short "summer break" we cannot provide an English commentary. Please see https://goo.gl/vCz5L7 for a sentiment update.

sentix Investmentmeinung 25-2017

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Rohöl mit konträrem Signal?

Während die Anleger sich über viele Assetklassen neutral verhalten und sich in ihren Portfolios auf die Benchmark zurückziehen, entwickeln sie eine sehr akzentuierte Meinung zum Thema Rohöl. Das Sentiment spiegelt mit einem Wert von -29 Prozentpunkten den Zustand von Angst wider. Wie ist das konträre Signal einzuordnen?

Geänderte Einschätzungen: EUR-USD

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sentix ASR Essentials 25-2017

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High underlying uncertainty points to volatility pick-up

The latest sentix survey indicates that investors are now only modestly pessimistic on the near-term outlook for equities, set against a medium-term strategic bias that has seen a marked improvement in recent months. However, highly elevated sentix neutrality indices suggest that there is also an underlying uncertainty on the nearterm outlook for equity markets. This fits in with survey positioning data which suggest that over-investment in equities is running at below longer-term average levels. It is a similar story in bonds, with near-term neutrality highly elevated on bunds. The risk is that such high uncertainty leads to a pick-up in volatility in equities and bonds over the summer. See Charts 2-4, p2.

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