sentix Economic News

Read the latest information and indications about the "first mover" among the economic indicators!

Background information on the sentix economic indicators

Recovery gains momentum

In November, the positive trend in the economic indices continues. The overall index for Euroland is even rising to a new year's high, driven by further rising expectations. But also, the plus of six points in the position assess-ment sets an exclamation mark. Important is the fact that the economic assessment for the US does not indicate any weakness for the time after the handover. Together with Japan and the emerging markets, the sentix Global Aggregate continues to grow, which points to a solid global economic upturn.

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The turning of the tide

The October 2016 survey marks an important shift in the sentix indices data. In general, the moderate recovery path of the global economy continues. The economic momentum for the German, Chinese and the Latin American economy certainly marks a bright spot on the global landscape. Although the economic momentum is less dynamic for the euro area, investors remain confident. Besides short-term changes, the sentix Investment Theme Indices reveal significant developments in investors’ long-term perceptions on the global economy.

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The global trend points upwards

Economic expectations for the eurozone continue to improve. The September data of the “first mover” for the euro zone reveals that both the current situation (+4.5) as well as expectations (+6.75) have slightly improved. Consequently, the overall index rises from 4.4 points to 5.6 points. The catch-up process of the emerging market economies overcompensates the heterogeneous developments of the industrialised world regions. Therefore, the global trend points upwards.

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Chinese glimmers of hope

Economic expectations are no longer negatively affected by the Brexit fallout. The sentix Economic Index improves moderately to +4.2 points. Positive growth impulses of the Chinese economy are accountable for the latest upswing, however. The European economy merely contributes to the confidence built up. The index for Asia ex. Japan jumps from +8.2 to +14.1 points. The latest round of yuan depreciation against the US Dollar and the Japanese Yen seems to act as a stimulant.

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The Brexit dampens economic expectations

The sentix economic survey is the first indicator of its kind to provide an indication whether UK’s decision to leave the EU affects the economy of other world regions. Thereby, it turns out that the spring recovery of the sentix economic expectations for the Eurozone has abruptly halted. The British voters’ verdict to depart the Eu-ropean Union should be a decisive reason for that. Besides Switzerland, the Eurozone is the biggest loser of the Brexit decision. 

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